Can ‘Hidden Figures’ or ‘Underworld: Blood Wars’ topple ‘Rogue One’?

ScreenerBlog

Short answer to the question posed in the headline: No, probably not. The first full weekend of the new year is set to be the fourth at the top of the box office for Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, with newcomers Hidden Figures and Underworld: Blood Wars unable to send it to the great trash compactor in the sky. Hidden Figures expands to wide release after a two-week limited run that’s seen it earn a total of $2.8 million on 25 screens. The bump to 2,471 theatres will likely net the film between $15-$20 million, which should put it behind kid-friendly holdovers Rogue One and Sing

The only new wide release this weekend is Underworld: Blood Wars, the fifth film in Sony’s long-lived “Kate Beckinsale in a black leather jumpsuit punching werewolves” saga. At 3,070, Blood Wars’ screen count is higher than Hidden Figures’, but it will likely still earn less money, a result of Hidden Figures’ positive buzz. Underworld: Blood Wars, by contrast, didn’t even screen for critics, and the reviews that have come in so far have been… not good. As in, “13% approval on Rotten Tomatoes” not good. Welcome to January.

Rounding out the top five will be Lionsgate’s awards heavyweight La La Land, which ups its theatre count from 750 to 1,515. A weekend gross in the low double digits is expected, with a possible jump next weekend if the musical has a solid showing at this Sunday’s Golden Globes.

Martin Scorsese’s Silence (51 screens), Ben Affleck’s Live by Night (four screens)  and Peter Berg’s Patriots Day (seven theatres) enjoy their last weekend in limited release before going wide next weekend. Focus Features’ A Monster Calls jumps from four theatres to a still-modest (for a wide release) 1,500. And new in limited release are Railroad Tigers, Master and The Ardennes.