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Two sides of Europe: Exhibition sees positive results in both evolving and mature markets

June 10, 2009

-By Alisdair Ritchie, Dodona Research


filmjournal/photos/stylus/87706-Cinema_Expo_Md.jpg
Exhibition in Europe can be split into two distinct regions. On one hand there are the mostly mature markets of Western and Northern Europe; and on the other the still-evolving markets of Central and Eastern Europe. 2008 was a consistently strong year for exhibition in Western Europe. Admissions in the 12 countries detailed below came to 824 million, an increase of 1.5 million upon the previous year. The standout result came from France, where Bienvenue Chez les Ch'tis became the most successful film of all time and led admissions upward by 7%. Disappointing performances in Greece and Spain saw admissions fall by 14% and 8% respectively.
 
Cinema Admissions in Key Western European Markets 2003-2008 (in millions)
 
 
2003
2007
2008
 
 
 
 
Austria
17.74
15.69
15.63
Belgium
22.71
22.33
21.84
France
173.46
177.73
189.70
Germany
148.96
125.43
129.40
Greece
15.00
13.75
11.83
Ireland
17.43
18.37
18.18
Italy
105.47
116.29
111.63
Netherlands
24.87
23.06
23.51
Portugal
18.72
16.32
15.98
Spain
137.47
116.93
107.81
Switzerland
16.96
14.19
14.30
United Kingdom
167.50
162.43
164.22
 
Evidence that these markets have reached maturity can be found by looking at investment in screens across the markets as a whole and comparing this to returns in the form of admissions. Screen numbers rose by 852 between 2003 and 2008. The most marked increase was in the United Kingdom, which developed 292 more screens, with increases of more than 100 screens in France and Italy. Indeed, of all these countries, only Germany has seen screen numbers fall, by around 1.5%. In light of this investment, it would be hoped that admissions would react positively, but the reality is that admissions have fallen by over 40 million or just under 5%. Spain and Germany saw the greatest losses, with admissions dropping by 30% and 20% respectively; France, in large part due to its success in 2008, grew its admissions by 16%. There are many reasons for these differences, which are best described in our Cinemagoing research reports (see www.dodona.co.uk for more details), but it is evident that investment in cinemas is no longer enough. The arrival of 3D films will certainly add some vibrancy to a mature market, but the cinema experience itself needs to evolve, not just the product.
 
Number of Screens in Key Western European Markets 2003-2008
 
 
2003
2008
 
 
 
Austria
553
577
Belgium
503
520
France
5299
5418
Germany
4868
4800
Greece
454
510
Ireland
331
430
Italy
3566
3750
Netherlands
602
640
Portugal
533
570
Spain
4253
4280
Switzerland
528
555
United Kingdom
3318
3610
 
The cinema market in Scandinavia is well-screened, particularly in Sweden and Norway, which have extensive networks of small community cinemas.
 
Cinemagoing Statistics in Scandinavia 2008
 
 
Screens
Population per Screen
 
 
 
Denmark
397
13,700
Finland
330
16,000
Norway
430
10,100
Sweden
1050
8,700
 
Admissions fluctuate from year to year but are generally flat. Results in 2008 improved across the Nordic nations, recovering from minor losses suffered during 2007.
 
 
 
2006
2007
2008
 
 
 
 
Denmark
12.60
12.12
13.20
Finland
6.70
6.52
6.86
Norway
12.01
10.82
11.80
Sweden
15.29
14.91
15.24
 
In contrast to the established markets of Western and Northern Europe, the exhibition sectors in Central and Eastern Europe are more varied. At one end of the scale are modern multiplex markets that retain potential for some growth yet, such as the Czech Republic and Hungary. At the other end are markets in their infancy, such as Romania and the Ukraine, which have over 100,000 people per cinema screen and have vast potential. Some countries are bridging this gap, with Russia and Poland, for example, showing strong growth in both admissions and screen numbers. The gap is set to close further with new investment planned in neglected cinema markets across much of the region. Some 300 screens will reportedly be built in Romania alone. A time scale for such changes is more difficult to establish, as the prevailing economic climate is likely to hinder the pace of investment.
 
Screen Numbers in Key Central and Eastern European Markets 2008
 
 
Screens
Population per Screen
 
 
 
Bulgaria
117
64,897
Czech Republic
788
13,095
Estonia
67
19,866
Hungary
645
15,522
Latvia
50
45,300
Lithuania
81
41,617
Poland
1050
36,290
Romania
122
175,090
Russia
1864
76,062
Slovakia
227
23,789
Slovenia
101
21,558
Ukraine
281
163,199
 
In 2008, and despite difficult economic conditions, exhibition in Central and Eastern Europe enjoyed a largely positive year. Five countries saw admissions jump by more than 10% during 2008. Slovakian admissions grew by 25% following strong performances by local movies. New multiplexes in Romania and Bulgaria grew the markets there, with admissions up by 19% and 14% respectively. Latvian admissions rose by 14%. While in Russia cinema continued its inexorable rise, admissions rose 16% in 2008 but have increased ten-fold since 2000. With 123.9 million admissions in 2008, Russia overtook Western European counterparts Spain and Italy, and now stands behind only France, the United Kingdom and Germany in the European admissions league.
 
Cinema Admissions in Key Central and Eastern European Markets 2007-2008 (in millions)
 
 
2007
2008
 
 
 
Bulgaria
2.47
2.82
Czech Republic
12.83
12.88
Estonia
1.63
1.46
Hungary
11.09
10.35
Latvia
2.06
2.35
Lithuania
3.32
3.27
Poland
32.60
33.80
Romania
2.91
3.46
Russia
106.60
123.90
Slovakia
2.69
3.36
Slovenia
2.40
2.18
Ukraine
15.30
14.00
 
All statistics courtesy Dodona Research


Two sides of Europe: Exhibition sees positive results in both evolving and mature markets

June 10, 2009

-By Alisdair Ritchie, Dodona Research


filmjournal/photos/stylus/87706-Cinema_Expo_Md.jpg

Exhibition in Europe can be split into two distinct regions. On one hand there are the mostly mature markets of Western and Northern Europe; and on the other the still-evolving markets of Central and Eastern Europe.2008 was a consistently strong year for exhibition in Western Europe. Admissions in the 12 countries detailed below came to 824 million, an increase of 1.5 million upon the previous year. The standout result came from France, where Bienvenue Chez les Ch'tis became the most successful film of all time and led admissions upward by 7%. Disappointing performances in Greece and Spain saw admissions fall by 14% and 8% respectively.
 
Cinema Admissions in Key Western European Markets 2003-2008 (in millions)
 
 
2003
2007
2008
 
 
 
 
Austria
17.74
15.69
15.63
Belgium
22.71
22.33
21.84
France
173.46
177.73
189.70
Germany
148.96
125.43
129.40
Greece
15.00
13.75
11.83
Ireland
17.43
18.37
18.18
Italy
105.47
116.29
111.63
Netherlands
24.87
23.06
23.51
Portugal
18.72
16.32
15.98
Spain
137.47
116.93
107.81
Switzerland
16.96
14.19
14.30
United Kingdom
167.50
162.43
164.22
 
Evidence that these markets have reached maturity can be found by looking at investment in screens across the markets as a whole and comparing this to returns in the form of admissions.Screen numbers rose by 852 between 2003 and 2008. The most marked increase was in the United Kingdom, which developed 292 more screens, with increases of more than 100 screens in France and Italy. Indeed, of all these countries, only Germany has seen screen numbers fall, by around 1.5%.In light of this investment, it would be hoped that admissions would react positively, but the reality is that admissions have fallen by over 40 million or just under 5%. Spain and Germany saw the greatest losses, with admissions dropping by 30% and 20% respectively; France, in large part due to its success in 2008, grew its admissions by 16%.There are many reasons for these differences, which are best described in our Cinemagoing research reports (see www.dodona.co.uk for more details), but it is evident that investment in cinemas is no longer enough. The arrival of 3D films will certainly add some vibrancy to a mature market, but the cinema experience itself needs to evolve, not just the product.
 
Number of Screens in Key Western European Markets 2003-2008
 
 
2003
2008
 
 
 
Austria
553
577
Belgium
503
520
France
5299
5418
Germany
4868
4800
Greece
454
510
Ireland
331
430
Italy
3566
3750
Netherlands
602
640
Portugal
533
570
Spain
4253
4280
Switzerland
528
555
United Kingdom
3318
3610
 
The cinema market in Scandinavia is well-screened, particularly in Sweden and Norway, which have extensive networks of small community cinemas.
 
Cinemagoing Statistics in Scandinavia 2008
 
 
Screens
Population per Screen
 
 
 
Denmark
397
13,700
Finland
330
16,000
Norway
430
10,100
Sweden
1050
8,700
 
Admissions fluctuate from year to year but are generally flat. Results in 2008 improved across the Nordic nations, recovering from minor losses suffered during 2007.
 
 
 
2006
2007
2008
 
 
 
 
Denmark
12.60
12.12
13.20
Finland
6.70
6.52
6.86
Norway
12.01
10.82
11.80
Sweden
15.29
14.91
15.24
 
In contrast to the established markets of Western and Northern Europe, the exhibition sectors in Central and Eastern Europe are more varied. At one end of the scale are modern multiplex markets that retain potential for some growth yet, such as the Czech Republic and Hungary. At the other end are markets in their infancy, such as Romania and the Ukraine, which have over 100,000 people per cinema screen and have vast potential. Some countries are bridging this gap, with Russia and Poland, for example, showing strong growth in both admissions and screen numbers. The gap is set to close further with new investment planned in neglected cinema markets across much of the region. Some 300 screens will reportedly be built in Romania alone. A time scale for such changes is more difficult to establish, as the prevailing economic climate is likely to hinder the pace of investment.
 
Screen Numbers in Key Central and Eastern European Markets 2008
 
 
Screens
Population per Screen
 
 
 
Bulgaria
117
64,897
Czech Republic
788
13,095
Estonia
67
19,866
Hungary
645
15,522
Latvia
50
45,300
Lithuania
81
41,617
Poland
1050
36,290
Romania
122
175,090
Russia
1864
76,062
Slovakia
227
23,789
Slovenia
101
21,558
Ukraine
281
163,199
 
In 2008, and despite difficult economic conditions, exhibition in Central and Eastern Europe enjoyed a largely positive year.Five countries saw admissions jump by more than 10% during 2008. Slovakian admissions grew by 25% following strong performances by local movies. New multiplexes in Romania and Bulgaria grew the markets there, with admissions up by 19% and 14% respectively. Latvian admissions rose by 14%.While in Russia cinema continued its inexorable rise, admissions rose 16% in 2008 but have increased ten-fold since 2000. With 123.9 million admissions in 2008, Russia overtook Western European counterparts Spain and Italy, and now stands behind only France, the United Kingdom and Germany in the European admissions league.
 
Cinema Admissions in Key Central and Eastern European Markets 2007-2008 (in millions)
 
 
2007
2008
 
 
 
Bulgaria
2.47
2.82
Czech Republic
12.83
12.88
Estonia
1.63
1.46
Hungary
11.09
10.35
Latvia
2.06
2.35
Lithuania
3.32
3.27
Poland
32.60
33.80
Romania
2.91
3.46
Russia
106.60
123.90
Slovakia
2.69
3.36
Slovenia
2.40
2.18
Ukraine
15.30
14.00
 
All statistics courtesy Dodona Research
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