Holdover 'LEGO Batman' poised to beat out new releases

ScreenerBlog

Last year President’s Day weekend was an absolute beast thanks to a little movie called Deadpool, which blew past all expectations with a massive four-day opening of $152.1 million. This year? Things aren’t looking quite so exceptional, but all the same things shouldn’t be too dire on account of the continued success of The LEGO Batman Movie.

Last weekend, The LEGO Batman Movie gave fellow new releases Fifty Shades Darker and John Wick Chapter 2 the beatdown, to the tune of $53 million against $46.6 million and $30.4 million, respectively. This time around, Bats is likely going to hang around on top again, outearning the trio of Fist Fight, The Great Wall and A Cure for Wellness. Those three films are suffering from some pretty dismal reviews, whereas a positive critical reception and an A- CinemaScore mean LEGO should have to endure only a moderate drop between its first and second weeks. A four-day haul in the neighborhood of $45 million is likely.

The Great Wall and Fist Fight are expected to land somewhere in the neighborhood of the teens to low twenties, which is also where holdovers Fifty Shades Darker and John Wick should end up. The Great Wall has the most to lose if it underperforms, as the historical actioner has a budget several times that of Fist Fight. That said, The Great Wall is also a Chinese-American co-production boasting several Chinese stars, so it, unlike Fist Fight, will likely be able to counteract a lackluster stateside showing with more sizeable international earnings. Indeed, overseas it’s already earned $224.5 against a reported $150 million budget. 

The red-headed stepchild of this weekend’s new releases is Gore Verbinski’s A Cure for Wellness, opening in 2,704 theatres. This one’s expected to earn $6-8 million over the four-day span; it remains to be seen whether the controversy over the film’s marketing, which had 20th Century Fox spreading fake news items littered with oblique references to the film, will help or hurt. No press is bad press, perhaps?

Out in limited release this weekend are Pantelion’s Everybody Loves Somebody, Indian environmental drama Irada, Best Foreign Language Film Oscar nominee Land of Mine and more.