‘Miss Peregrine,’ ‘Deepwater Horizon’ take aim at ‘The Magnificent Seven’

ScreenerBlog
Box Office Outlook

September comes to a close with a trio of new releases hoping to unseat last weekend’s champion, The Magnificent Seven. Let’s shuffle Jared Hess’ ensemble comedy Masterminds out of the way tout suite, because it has no shot; despite the presence of a high-wattage cast that includes Kristen Wiig and Zach Galifianakis, this is expected to be a modest earner, pulling in around $6 million and quite possibly not even cracking the top five.

It’s up to Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children and Deepwater Horizon, then, to push The Magnificent Seven ($34.7 opening last weekend) and Storks ($21.3 million) on down the list of top earners. Peregrine has the ardent fan following of director Tim Burton going for it, though his cachet has fallen off a bit in recent years. (Dark Shadows, anyone?) It’s expected to earn the top spot with an opening weekend gross in the $25-$30 million range.

Deepwater Horizon, despite better reviews than Peregrine (80% approval on Rotten Tomatoes, compared to Peregrine’s 62%), is expected to open smaller, somewhere in the high teens to low twenties. For a movie that reportedly cost $156 million to make (compared to Peregrine’s $110 million), that’s not wonderful, but nobody really expects September releases to come roaring out of the gate—if Deepwater has good legs through October, Lionsgate could still end up in the black. 

This weekend’s best-reviewed new wide release is Mira Nair’s Queen of Katwe, which Disney is expanding from 52 screens to a still-modest 1,242. The gradual roll-out could serve well for the film, which is expected to crack the top ten. New limited releases include American Honey, Clinton, Inc., Denial, A Man Called Ove and The Blackcoat’s Daughter.